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May 12, 2021

Sean Murphy

May 12 '21, 12:10 PM in 2h
MLB | Orioles vs Mets
Play on: Mets -180 at BetCris

Wednesday MLB Free play. My selection is on New York over Baltimore at 12:10 pm et on Wednesday.

Having won six games in a row including a 3-2 victory in walk-off fashion last night, there's a lot to like when it comes to the Mets right now. They've been reasonably trustworthy as a favorite this season, allowing just north of two runs per game in that situation, as is the case today. Meanwhile, O's starter - and former Met - Matt Harvey continues to wind down his career and I'll point out that he's posted a career 15-27 team record when coming off a start in which he allowed two earned runs or less, as is the case today. Mets starter Taijuan Walker held opposing hitters to a collective .214 splitting time with the Mariners and Blue Jays last season and has posted a stellar .171 opponents batting average through 34 innings of work this season. He's done a nice job of keeping the ball down with an 18.8% fly ball percentage and a 0.7% home run percentage. Behind Walker is a Mets bullpen that has quite simply been elite in the early going this season, posting an ERA right around 1.50 here at home. We're being asked to lay a steep price with the Mets here, but I believe it's warranted. Take New York (8*).

Sean's 85-48 (+$2,967) NHL run continues with TWO 10* big ticket totals on Wednesday with the first getting underway EARLY at 5 pm et! Your best bet is a weekly or monthly subscription package, giving you access to ALL of Murph's winners every day!

Released on May 12 at 07:01 am View Archive
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Brandon Lee

May 12 '21, 12:35 PM in 2h
MLB | Reds vs Pirates
Play on: Reds -157 at Draft Kings

FREE PICK - Cincinnati Reds -157
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 901

I got no problem laying a little juice on the Reds in Wednesday's series finale against the Pirates. Cincinnati won the series opener 14-1 on Monday and then lost 2-7 last night. Thing is, if that was the game Pittsburgh was going to win, that was it. 

Pirates had by far their best starter on the mound in J.T. Brubaker. He's got a 2.58 ERA and the rest of the rotation has a 5.47 ERA. Today it will be Trevor Cahill on the mound. He's 1-4 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.568 WHIP in 6 starts. He faced this Reds offense earlier in Cincinnati and gave up 7 runs on 9 hits in 4 innings. 

Reds will counter with Sonny Gray, who appears to be rounding into form. Gray has a mediocre 3.92 ERA and 1.355 WHIP, but has only made 4 starts with one clunker at St. Louis. In his last two outings at Dodgers and home against the White Sox, he's allowed just 2 ER on 6 hits with 19 K's in 12 2/3 innings of work.

If you don't love laying this big a price, I don't hate the Reds on the -1.5 (+110) run line. Give me Cincinnati -157! 

Released on May 12 at 10:00 am View Archive
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Hunter Price

May 12 '21, 1:10 PM in 3h
MLB | Cubs vs Indians
Play on: Indians -115 at Draft Kings

1* Free Pick on Indians -115

Released on May 12 at 08:42 am View Archive
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Kenny Walker

May 12 '21, 1:10 PM in 3h
MLB | Cubs vs Indians
Play on: Cubs +123 at Draft Kings

Free Pick on Cubs

Released on May 12 at 09:00 am View Archive
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Stephen Nover

May 12 '21, 1:10 PM in 3h
MLB | Cubs vs Indians
Play on: Indians -108 at linepros

Injuries. Small lay price. Home field. Fading Zach Davies. Pick a reason because all of them are valid in going against the Cubs here. 

 Chicago has lost seven of its last nine road contests. The Indians are hot having won 11 of their last 14 games.  The Cubs are extremely banged-up. They are minus Jake Marisnick, Ian Happ and Nico Hoerner. Kris Bryant and Javier Baez are each questionable. I consider those two the best players on the Cubs.  I'm not excited about Sam Hentges, who starts this game for Cleveland. The rookie has a 5.00 ERA in nine innings this season. I don't know what I'm going to get from him.  But I'd rather take a chance with Hentges than back Zach Davies, who has a 6.30 ERA and has been terrible away from Wrigley Field with a 12.54 ERA in three road starts.   (Editor's note: Stephen Nover has his NHL Underdog Game of the Year going today. Stephen is 34-15-1 on his Max Unit hockey games for 69 percent. This is one hockey play you should not miss!)     
  
Released on May 12 at 06:26 am View Archive
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Steve Janus

May 12 '21, 7:05 PM in 8h
MLB | Phillies vs Nationals
Play on: Nationals +128 at Draft Kings

1* Free Sharp Play on Nationals +128

Released on May 12 at 12:00 am View Archive
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Black Widow

May 12 '21, 7:20 PM in 9h
MLB | TOR vs ATL
Play on: UNDER 8½ -115

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Blue Jays/Braves under 8½ -115

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

Released on May 12 at 06:30 am View Archive
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Larry Ness

May 12 '21, 7:20 PM in 9h
MLB | Blue Jays vs Braves
Play on: Blue Jays -107 at pinnacle

My free play is on the Tor Blue Jays at 7:20 ET. The Toronto Blue Jays are 18-16 (2 1/2 games back of Boston in the AL East) after a come-from-behind victory 5-3 on Tuesday in Atlanta. Toronto swept three games from the Braves on April 30-May 2 in Dunedin, Fl and will now look for a FIFTH straight win over Atlanta in the second contest of this three-game series. The Braves have won three straight NL East titles (were ONE win away from a World Series appearance in 2020) but Tuesday's loss drops them back under .500 (17-18) on the season. Atlanta is also 2 1/2 games back in their division, trailing the NY Mets (17-13) and Phi Phillies (19-17). Wednesday's pitching matchup features a pair of lefties, Toronto's Hyun Jin Ryu (2-2, 3.31 ERA) squaring off against Atlanta's Max Fried (1-1, 8.44 ERA). Ryu spent his first six seasons with the Dodgers, winning 14 games in three different seasons, including 2019. Ryu signed a four-year deal with Toronto prior to the 2020 season and became the team's ace, going 5-2 with a 2.69 ERA in 12 starts (Jays were 9-3). Ryu had a 2.60 ERA in his first five starts this season but was just 1-2 (team was 2-3). He then was placed on the injured list with a strained glute. He returned on May 6 at Oakland and allowed four runs on six hits, one walk and six strikeouts in five innings. However, he was the beneficiary of generous run support, as the Jays scored 10 times. Max Fried was OUTSTANDING in 2020 in which he went 7-0 with a 2.25 ERA in 11 starts (Braves were 10-1). Fried made this season's Opening Day start for the Braves and allowed two ERs in five innings, taking a no-decision in a game Atlanta lost 3-2 in 10 innings. However, his next two starts were AWFUL, as he allowed 17 hits and 12 ERs in just SIX innings. He was then placed on the IL list due to a right hamstring strain with an 11.45 ERA. He returned from the injured list on May 5 and beat the Washington Nationals 5-3 (5 IP / 4 hits / one run / 6-1 KW ratio). "That's as good as his stuff has been all year," Atlanta manager Brian Snitker said of Fried's first game back. "The breaking ball, sinker had good life, the fastball was coming out of the hand really good. It just looked more like Max." Ryu is 3-2 with a 2.62 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in eight career starts vs Atlanta (teams are 5-3), while Fried has faced Toronto just once, winning 10-1 last August (6 IP / 4 hits / 1 ER). I realize Fried looked sharp in his last outing but Ryu is a formidable opponent and Toronto has had Atlanta's 'number' here in 2021. Jays make it FIVE straight over the Braves. Good luck...Larry

Released on May 12 at 07:48 am View Archive
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Totals Guru

May 12 '21, 8:10 PM in 10h
MLB | MIN vs CWS
Play on: UNDER 8½ -118

Free Total Annihilator On Twins vs White Sox under 8½ -118

Released on May 12 at 09:00 am View Archive
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