PICK - Los Angeles Lakers -5
I will take my chances here with the Lakers as a 5-point home favorite against the Blazers. It took 4 straight losses where LA failed to cover the spread before the public had enough.
Now instead of blindly looking to back the Lakers, the public is all over the Blazers with more than 60% of the action on Portland in this game. I always like going against the public when I can and even more so in a big game like this one that will be televised on ESPN.
LA will still be without Anthony Davis, but will be welcoming back point guard Dennis Schroder, who has been out in all 4 of the Lakers losses on this current losing streak. Getting Schroder back is huge, as it not only gives LA another guy who can handle the rock, but puts another reliable scorer on the floor.
Scoring also figures to be a bit easier in this one, as the Blazers are not a great defensive team at all, especially on the road, where they are giving up 116.5 ppg on 48% shooting from the field and 39% shooting from behind the 3-point line.
Lastly, we are backing LA in a very profitable spot. Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points who have failed to cover 8 or more of their last 10 games, with a winning record and playing a team with a winning record are 77-41 (65%) ATS since 1996. This includes a 13-4 ATS run the last 5 seasons. Give me the Lakers -5!
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